Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes. Report published in 2009 by the national intelligence council of the united states nic 200904d. Indeed, the national intelligence council global trends 2030 report believes there will be a diffusion of power and that there will in fact be no hegemonic power in 2030. The national intelligence council nic serves as the us intelligence communitys center for the longterm strategic analysis.
As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. This detailed work has dozens of indepth blog posts, by experts in their fields. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. An examination of technological game changers as envisioned in the national intelligence council s global trends 2030 publication. Geopolitical implications open pdf 551 kb the national intelligence council sponsored workshop entitled, the implications of global climate change in southeast asia and the pacific island states, held on july 21, 2009 brought together a panel of regional experts to consider the probable effects of climate change on southeast asia from.
A publication of the national intelligence council national intelligence council, penny hill press on. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The national intelligence council is a center of strategic thinking within the united states government, reporting to the director of national intelligence dni and providing coordinated analyses of foreign policy issues for the president and senior policymakers. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence council s nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. The national intelligence council sponsors workshops and research with nongovernmental experts to gain knowledge and insight and to sharpen debate on critical issues. In this forward looking document, i found the discussion about potential cyber threats to be both useful and vaunted at the same time. Global trends 2030 future predictions by national intelligence council posted by wikitiger on 121112 at 10. Use the link below to share a fulltext version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Alternative worlds le menu office of the director of national intelligence national intelligence council starters main courses dessert charts.
The national security strategy, issued in february 2015, is clear that climate change is an urgent and growing threat to our national security, contributing to increased natural. House permanent select committee on intelligence house. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004 to obtain a copy of this publication, please contact. Within the intelligence community, we were supported by the defense intelligence agencys armed forces medical intelligence center, the office of naval.
More extreme weather howard passell moderated will megacities. Richard engel from the national intelligence council posted climate change 2030. It leads the ics effort to produce national intelligence estimates and other documents. Asia rises, the west declines the planet may also be racked by wars over food and water. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Alternative worlds office of the director of national intelligence. Since 1979, the nic has served a bridge between the intelligence and policy communitiesas well as a facilitator for outreach to outside experts. Us national intelligence council global trends 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence.
The national intelligence council s global trends 2030 report identified four key megatrends that are driving change within the international system. Worlds a publication of the national intelligence council. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. Lets take the following statement about potential events that would cause the greatest disruptive impact.
A condensed version of the report is also available 1. The national intelligence council s global trends 2030. In december 2016, the outgoing and incoming administrations were given global trends. December 2012 the national intelligence council released its global trends 2030 report.
Ongoing uncertainty about the longterm health of the european union eu has caused the people of many member states to look inward, stirring old. Workshop on information technology in africa, may 2002 3 mb pdf file. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. National intelligence council issues global trends 2030. While i was the counselor at the us national intelligence council 200320 responsible for producing three editions of the highly rated global trends report,1 the pardee center was critical for the modeling of those trends. Le menu individual empowerment majority of worlds population wont be impoverished. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. How to cite 20, the us national intelligence council on alternative global futures in 2030. Nevertheless, the report also states strategy that. National intelligence council the national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces national intelligence estimates, which are intelligence communitywide forecasts of issues and challenges facing the security of the united states.
Geopolitical implications open pdf 471 kb the national intelligence council sponsored workshop entitled implications of global climate change in india on march 27, 2009, brought together a panel of india experts to consider the probable effects of climate change on india from a social, political, and economic perspective. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the council s latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. They already play an essential role in the development of all four worlds of work, matching skills to employer, capital to investor and. The us national intelligence council on alternative global. I would especially like to acknowledge the work of the latesenior analyst christopher decker who provided critical help with the forecasts on global health andpandemics before his untimely death. We sought out and drew heavily on experts outside the intelligence. Government printing office gpo, superintendent of documents, po box 391954. Mapping the global future, report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project, january 2005. Geopolitical implications open pdf 482 kb the national intelligence council sponsored workshop entitled the implications of global climate change in russia, held on may 18, 2009, brought together a panel of russia experts to consider the probable effects of climate change on russia from a social, political, and economic perspective. Index includes population, gdp, military spending, technology, health, education, and governance. Following the publication in 2008 of the national intelligence assessment on the national security implications of global climate change to 2030, the national intelligence council nic embarked on a research effort to explore in greater detail the national security implications of climate change in six countriesregions of the world. For nearly two decades, the national intelligence council s global trends report has been shaping strategic conversations within and beyond the u. On the national intelligence council this effort was conducted by the national intelligence officers for science and technology, and for economics, and the nics long range analysis unit. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during.
The national intelligence council commissioned a report for upcoming global trends out to the year 2030. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public. Chinas economy to outgrow americas by 2030 as world faces tectonic shift this article is more than 7 years old. The national intelligence council nic is the center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking within the united states intelligence community ic. A publication of the national intelligence council. Down but still a threat, august 2003 2 mb pdf file. The competing forces shaping 2030 how digital and artificial intelligence are changing work the potential for digital platforms and ai to underpin and grow the world of work is unbounded. Global trends 2015 is not a traditional intelligence product based on classic intelligence sources, methods and procedures. The two day conference is being held in partnership with the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds report, released last december explores many of these trends in detail, some already much in evidence. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. The book was produced and published by the national intelligence council nic.
Just how intelligent is the national intelligence council. Paradox of progress, the sixth edition in the national intelligence council s nic series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Us grand strategy options einternational relations. The national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces.
The national intelligence council gave overall direction to the yearlong effort, assisted by colleagues from other intelligence agencies and offices. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement policy. More recently, after retiring and moving to the atlantic council, i. Prominent roles predicted for demographic and environmental trends. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Every halfdecade, the national intelligence council s global trends series produces a roughly 20year predictive analysis of the worlds evolution an analysis considered to be the best longrange geopolitical forecasting conducted by the u. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts. Alternative worlds, released by the office of the director of national intelligence, the apex body of 16 us intelligence agencies, says china alone will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the united states a few years before 2030. The national intelligence council s global trends report. National intelligence council s recently released 140 page report global trends 2030, which reflects the consensus judgments of all 16 u. Chinas economy to outgrow americas by 2030 as world. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. It supports and reports to the director of national intelligence.